For the record, I don’t expect John Carter to be a bad movie. I’ve seen enough reviews that fall
into the range of positive to mildly positive to expect that, as a fan of
popcorn movies, I’ll enjoy this one to at least some degree. In addition, the
novels upon which this movie is based are favorites of mine and their author, Edgar
Rice Burroughs, is sci-fi royalty. It disappoints me greatly, therefore, to
know that this movie is going to wind up as one of the biggest failures in the
history of the cinema. What could be the cause of such an historic flop? Let’s
break it down into three briefly detailed categories of screwiness.
Source Material
As noted above, I love Edgar Rice Burroughs’ series of
books. They represent perhaps the first real examples of mainstream science
fiction and while they’re far from complex, they are exceedingly fun to read.
But how many average moviegoers have heard of Edgar Rice Burroughs or, more
importantly, John Carter? I would guess (without any research to back me up
beyond informal polling among my friends) that the percentage of casual moviegoers
who’ve heard of Burroughs, let alone read his work, is quite low. Again, we’re
talking about a series that was first published 100 years ago and which hasn’t
gone through a rediscovery renaissance in quite some time. It’s not that it’s
hard to get your hands on one of the books if you want; in fact, Barnes and Noble
printed a nice, inexpensive collection of three John Carter stories a few years
back. But you do have to know what you’re looking for and seek it out. Unlike
some more fortunate sci-fi and fantasy pieces from past decades, these aren’t
books that get introduced in school (The
Hobbit, Ender’s Game) or go
through constant reprinting (Dracula,
the Sherlock Holmes collection).
Moreover, if you have heard of Burroughs, it’s likely
that you know him because of his other famous series, Tarzan. The similarities between the John Carter series and the
Tarzan series are extensive but it is Tarzan who has enjoyed a century of notoriety.
Everyone knows the basic gist of the Tarzan story; you can’t say the same for
John Carter. That lack of familiarity with Burroughs, Carter, and the source
material that brings the two together can be a tough hurdle to overcome. Keep
in mind that we just came off of a year in which the top nine films at the box
office were sequels. What that means is that now, possibly more than ever,
familiarity with a film’s source material is crucial to box office success.
Building a tent-pole movie around an unknown commodity is risky at best,
especially when you consider our second category.
Budget
Remember that the issues which have kept John Carter off the big screen have
always been technology and money. If you go see John Carter this weekend, you will see things that wouldn’t have
been possible even five years ago. So the technology has come around.
Unfortunately for Disney, the technology is absurdly expensive. How expensive,
you ask? The estimated budget for John
Carter is somewhere in the range of $250 million and I’ve seen articles
that would suggest that’s a conservative estimate. To put that into
perspective, Avatar, for which much
of the technology used to make John Carter
had to be created, cost “only” $235 million to make. To take that a step
further, Rise of the Planet of the Apes,
which featured some of the most amazing extended special effects shots I’ve ever
seen, came in at a cool $93 million.
Spending $250 million on any movie that doesn’t involve
Harry Potter, Batman, or Bilbo Baggins is essentially cinematic suicide. To
make matters worse, while the source material is largely unknown to the general
public, the cast of John Carter doesn’t
exactly set the world on fire. I love Taylor Kitsch to the point that I may
name my hypothetical, future son after his character on Friday Night Lights. But Kitsch is not a movie star (at least not
yet). There are some known names within Kitsch’s supporting cast (Willem Dafoe,
Bryan Cranston, Mark Strong) but none that are going to bring in the average
moviegoer. To put that kind of money into a film without a well-known name is
ludicrous.
Apparently, however, Disney has never heard the phrase, “throwing
good money after bad.” I’d love to know what this project’s original budget was
but regardless, this type of spending can only be classified as “stupid.”
Movies go over budget all the time but at some point, someone has to say enough
is enough and cap the sucker before it gets out of control. In this case, “enough
is enough” should have come about $100 million ago.
Marketing
Considering the unknown source material and the “could
fund several small countries for a year” budget, you would think the marketing
campaign behind John Carter would be
dynamite. And you would be wrong. The missteps involved with this aspect of the
filmmaking process of have been remarkable and could be considered a master’s
class in what not to do.
For me, it starts with the lack of attention paid to
Pixar’s involvement with this project. For a while I think John Carter was labeled in news blurbs and articles as, “The first
live-action Pixar movie.” But when the first trailer and poster debuted, Pixar’s
involvement was ignored. Sure, this is not technically a Pixar film. But
director Andrew Stanton comes from the Pixar stable and is responsible for two
of that company’s biggest successes, WALL*E
and Finding Nemo. Did you know that
the director of John Carter directed
those movies as well? Many of my friends did not, which begs the question: why
wasn’t Andrew Stanton’s previous film history trumpeted throughout the
marketing for this movie? Why doesn’t everyone know that John Carter is brought to you by the guy who gave us WALL*E?
Worse, though, is the way in which Disney has ignored the
fanboy. Instead of embracing the key demographic for John Carter, Disney has gone out of its way to stay away from what
should be the target market. There was no promotion at Comic Con, a grievous
and confusing mistake that goes against the methods Disney has used in the
past. Then there’s the title change that took the film away from its roots. The
difference between John Carter and John Carter of Mars may seem insignificant
but to me and many other would-be fanboys, it signified a shift in what Disney
was going for. It’s a blander, all-encompassing title that I suspect
exemplifies what we can expect from the film. This is what happens when you
spend foolishly on a film: instead of focusing on the market that is most
likely to embrace your film, you end up having to aim for every moviegoer and
in most cases, the result is overwhelmingly disappointing.
By bringing all of these factors together, Disney has set
2012’s first blockbuster hopeful up against a tremendous mountain that it has
no chance of scaling. And for me, that makes John Carter one of the most fascinating films of the year for me. I
am both stoked to see Burroughs’ work brought to life on the screen and
thoroughly intrigued by the (great) possibility of a trainwreck. Regardless of
how it turns out, I’ll be in a theater on opening day, eagerly awaiting the
unknown which is to come. Unfortunately for Disney, I expect I will be somewhat
lonesome in that theater.
EDITOR'S NOTE: I got about halfway through this piece before stumbling across a similar column written by Anne Thompson over at Indiewire. Thompson has already seen John Carter and provides a much more in-depth look at the curious choices I touched on here. I highly encourage reading her article if you have an interest in this subject.
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